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Old 13-08-2021, 03:16 PM   #10
Bossxr8
Peter Car
 
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: geelong
Posts: 23,145
Default Re: Covid 19 -

Quote:
Originally Posted by tweeked
They Claim 95 and 98 percent efficacy, not 100%. So if 100 people in their 90's what normally happens, few walk out again. You will still lose some people in their 90's that are vaccinated.
Quote:
Originally Posted by tweeked
I think we will, on a proviso.

if the median age of those who die is over 70. I haven't bought in too much to the die of/die with debate, but if it is predominantly taking people who were in their last 5 years who had serious complications then we would have to be pragmatic. The vaccine may protect 95%, but I am not sure what it will do for someone who is already on the knife edge.

On the other hand, if it is averaging in the 40's I would agree with you.
Some of the vax's are as low as 65% efficacy, like the AZ. And it looks like they are all less effective against the delta variant, so probably even lower again. The vaccine's are not the complete cure like a lot of people are assuming they will be. Especially the more virus keeps mutating, the less effective they become.

This problem isn't going away anytime soon. I think we all need to come to the realization that most of the population is going to end up catching covid at some point. And a hell of a lot of people are going to die. We can't keep locking down forever, and it's going to spread like wildfire when we eventually open up.
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