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Old 17-03-2020, 07:56 PM   #11
Franco Cozzo
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Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Centrefold Lounge
Posts: 48,650
Default Re: Covid 19 -

Quote:
Originally Posted by b0son View Post
We have 2000 ICU beds nation wide. If 5% of cases require critical care, that's equivalent to 40,000 cases total. While we can stay on top of it, the mortality rate remains low, under 1% with high level/quality care.

If we exceed the number of ICU beds, the mortality rate increases. Italy has a better health system than ours. But its capacity has been exceeded, and this is reflected in the mortality rate:

Mar 2 - 2036 cases, 52 deaths, 2.5% CFR
Mar 9 - 9172 cases, 463 deaths, 5.0% CFR
Mar 16 - 27980 cases, 2158 deaths 7.7% CFR

The whole point of trying to slow the spread is to reduce the burden on the hospital system.

But hey, if you think it's acceptable, then don't complain if you have a bad reaction to it, and rather than receiving care, you're triaged instead in the hallway like they are in Italy... and left to die.
Mortality rate is 0.2% in my age group - its very much the exception not the rule, I'll take my chances - more chance of winning lotto than karking it from the beervirus.

Absolute worst case for Australia they quoted 150,000 deaths by the time its done and dusted, you know, the same amount of people who die from accidents and natural causes every year in Australia.
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