[russellw]

One of the unexpected things is that the adjusted CMR in the UK has been rising since 'freedom day' - in the fortnight prior to that day, the CMR was 0.206% which was a lot better than their whole of pandemic average at that time which was 2.435%.

Despite the reasonably high vaccination rates, that figure has mostly climbed each subsequent 14 day period with:

Fortnight 1 (548,676 cases) having a CMR of 0.239%;
Fortnight 2 (410,237 cases) having a CMR of 0.376%;
Fortnight 3 (490,412 cases) having a CMR of 0.372%; and
Fortnight 4 (525,136 cases) having a CMR of 0.419% to date although we are still counting.

This has also been the case in Florida with the fortnight prior to derestriction having a CMR of 1.422% and their whole of pandemic rate was pretty close at 1.399% but it's currently 1.452%:

Fortnight 1 (203,325 cases) having a CMR of 1.585%;
Fortnight 2 (305,305 cases) having a CMR of 1.635%; although
Fortnight 3 (315,564 cases) might be lower based on the to-date data but there is also a significant delay in reporting deaths.