[FoxtrotGolfXray 5.0]

Originally Posted by russellw

NSW/VIC

NSW records 1,064 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9881 (from 0.9851) while the actual line is a bit further above the predictive trend line and based on the 4th order polynomial, that trend line now has a downward curve.

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VIC records 766 cases in the current period (another high for this outbreak) and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.2197 (from 1.10702) while the actual line is now above the predictive trend line.

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Any chance of overlaying those two charts, Russ? I'd be interested to see how Vic is tracking compared to NSW at the same stage since the outbreak occurred in the respective states. This would also then allow some prediction as to when we'd see the peak in Vic. Looking at the trend lines, it looks like Vic is about 400 cases lower than NSW (@ day 73; Vic ~700 cases, NSW ~1100 cases)

Also, would it be possible to overlay the death rates on the same graph? Again, we'd then be able to predict the rates in Vic.